Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Livesport Prague Open: Lilli Tagger vs Barbora Krejcikova Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Lilli Tagger vs Barbora Krejcikova Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Lilli Tagger vs Barbora Krejcikova Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Lilli Tagger vs Barbora Krejcikova Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Lilli Tagger vs Barbora Krejcikova Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Lilli Tagger vs Barbora Krejcikova Match O/U 22.5 | 88% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Lilli Tagger vs Barbora Krejcikova Match O/U 23.5 | 88% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Lilli Tagger vs Barbora Krejcikova Match O/U 21.5 | 86% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Lilli Tagger vs Barbora Krejcikova Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 75% |
| Completed Match | 50% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Lilli Tagger vs Barbora Krejcikova | 37% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Lilli Tagger vs Barbora Krejcikova Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 5% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Lilli Tagger vs Barbora Krejcikova Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Lilli Tagger vs Barbora Krejcikova Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Lilli Tagger vs Barbora Krejcikova Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, livesport prague open: lilli tagger vs barbora krejcikova stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Lilli Tagger and Barbora Krejcikova in the Livesport Prague Open, originally scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market w…
Methodology
This page reviews Livesport Prague Open: Lilli Tagger vs Barbora Krejcikova across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Bot UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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