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Wimbledon WTA: Janice Tjen vs Daria Kasatkina

Five-platform snapshot of "Wimbledon WTA: Janice Tjen vs Daria Kasatkina" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Wimbledon WTA: Janice Tjen vs Daria Kasatkina Set 1 Winner 100% Wimbledon WTA: Janice Tjen vs Daria Kasatkina Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Wimbledon WTA: Janice Tjen vs Daria Kasatkina Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Wimbledon WTA: Janice Tjen vs Daria Kasatkina Set 1 O/U 10.5 100% Volume: $283K Liquidity: $346K Closes: 8 Jul 2026
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Wimbledon WTA: Janice Tjen vs Daria Kasatkina

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Wimbledon WTA: Janice Tjen vs Daria Kasatkina Set 1 Winner100%
Wimbledon WTA: Janice Tjen vs Daria Kasatkina Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon WTA: Janice Tjen vs Daria Kasatkina Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon WTA: Janice Tjen vs Daria Kasatkina Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Wimbledon WTA: Janice Tjen vs Daria Kasatkina Match O/U 21.575%
Wimbledon WTA: Janice Tjen vs Daria Kasatkina Match O/U 23.575%
Wimbledon WTA: Janice Tjen vs Daria Kasatkina Total Sets: O/U 2.575%
Wimbledon WTA: Janice Tjen vs Daria Kasatkina Match O/U 22.575%
Completed Match50%
Wimbledon WTA: Janice Tjen vs Daria Kasatkina36%
Wimbledon WTA: Janice Tjen vs Daria Kasatkina Set Handicap +/-1.54%
Wimbledon WTA: Janice Tjen vs Daria Kasatkina Set 2 O/U 8.50%
Wimbledon WTA: Janice Tjen vs Daria Kasatkina Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Wimbledon WTA: Janice Tjen vs Daria Kasatkina Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Wimbledon WTA: Janice Tjen vs Daria Kasatkina Set 2 Winner0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, wimbledon wta: janice tjen vs daria kasatkina stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Janice Tjen and Daria Kasatkina in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve t…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Bot UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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