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Rome: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Martina Trevisan

Five-platform snapshot of "Rome: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Martina Trevisan" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Completed Match 100% Rome: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Martina Trevisan Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Rome: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Martina Trevisan Set 2 O/U 9.5 100% Rome: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Martina Trevisan Set Handicap +/-1.5 100% Volume: $108K Closes: 23 Jul 2026
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Rome: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Martina Trevisan

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Rome: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Martina Trevisan Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Rome: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Martina Trevisan Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Rome: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Martina Trevisan Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Rome: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Martina Trevisan Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Rome: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Martina Trevisan0%
Rome: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Martina Trevisan Set 1 O/U 8.50%
Rome: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Martina Trevisan Set 2 Winner0%
Rome: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Martina Trevisan Match O/U 21.50%
Rome: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Martina Trevisan Set 1 Winner0%
Rome: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Martina Trevisan Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Rome: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Martina Trevisan Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Rome: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Martina Trevisan Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Rome: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Martina Trevisan Match O/U 22.50%
Rome: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Martina Trevisan Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Rome: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Martina Trevisan Match O/U 23.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of rome: aurora zantedeschi vs martina trevisan. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Aurora Zantedeschi and Martina Trevisan in the Rome, originally scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve t…

Methodology

This page reviews Rome: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Martina Trevisan across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Bot UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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