Samsun: Dan Added vs Kenta Miyoshi

Platform comparison

Market context

Dan Added and Kenta Miyoshi are scheduled for an ATP Challenger match in Samsun on outdoor hard courts, and the live listings place the contest in the second round of the event. Added is the higher-ranked player at around ATP No. 224, while Miyoshi is roughly ATP No. 602, which usually gives the market some baseline shape even before point-by-point data is available.[1][4][11]

A **0% YES** price is typically read by programme-driven traders as a stale or already-subsumed signal rather than a literal statement about the tennis itself, especially once the match is underway or a result feed is lagging. In comparable Challenger fixtures with no head-to-head history, the cleaner inputs tend to be the ranking gap, surface, and any live score updates; sources show no previous professional meeting between them, and one live feed already had the match in play with sets split, which would be enough for automated models to mark the market as effectively resolved or priced out.[2][7][8]

For a bot or conditional-order workflow, the key catalysts are the official start, any retirement, and whether the match page continues to report an active score before the settlement window closes. If the match is not completed, the market rules matter as much as the tennis: a retirement still advances one player, but a cancellation, tie, or delay beyond seven days pushes it to 50-50, so programme logic should watch both live score APIs and event status rather than rely on headline odds alone.[1][2][5]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Bot UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.