Lexus Eastbourne Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Raphael Collignon and Juan Manuel Cerúndolo are due to meet at Eastbourne in a match that the market currently prices as effectively off the board at 0% YES, which usually means the contract is waiting on a confirmed start, a live score feed, or a stale market reset rather than a genuine lack of interest. The most useful way to approach it programmatically is to treat the event as a binary state machine: open, started, completed, or void/50-50, and only commit once the tournament schedule and live match status agree across sources.[4][5]

The historical frame is straightforward: this is not a fresh stylistic puzzle but a repeat pairing, with ATP head-to-head records and recent preview material showing Cerúndolo has led the matchup 2-0, including a three-set win in the Bordeaux Challenger final in May 2026.[1][2][7] That matters for pricing bots because repeated head-to-heads can anchor model priors, but tennis markets still move sharply on surface, fitness, and whether the player listed first is actually the one who has been trading shorter in the pre-match books; in the preview data, Collignon is nevertheless installed as the favourite despite that prior.[1][3]

For a trader running conditional orders or copy triggers, the main catalysts are the official order of play, any late postponement, and whether the match begins within the market’s seven-day settlement window. Live listings show the fixture at Eastbourne on 22 June with a morning UTC start, but the precise outcome for the contract depends on whether there is an actual winner rather than a walkover, cancellation, or delay beyond the threshold.[4][5][9] In practical terms, the safest automation checks are the tournament draw page, a live scoreboard confirming first ball, and any same-day schedule reshuffles caused by weather or court backlog.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Lexus Eastbourne Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Bot UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Bot UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Bot UK?

Zero. Polymarket Bot UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.