Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini

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Active sub-markets

Market context

A tennis match between Federico Coria and Andrea Collarini is scheduled for the Tucumán tournament on 11 June 2026. Both players are Argentine professionals competing on home soil, which typically carries significance in terms of preparation, travel logistics, and crowd dynamics. The settlement window extends to 18 June, allowing a seven-day grace period for rescheduling before the market defaults to 50-50 if no result is determined.

The 100% implied probability reflects the straightforward nature of a scheduled ATP-level fixture between two established competitors rather than genuine certainty about the outcome. Historical precedent suggests Argentine domestic tournaments rarely face cancellation; the Tucumán event has maintained consistent scheduling over recent years. However, traders automating position management should flag weather disruptions (Tucumán experiences winter conditions in June) and injury withdrawals as primary circuit-breakers. The ATP's official tournament calendar and player ranking updates typically signal withdrawal news 48–72 hours before matches.

For programmatic traders, the key dependency is confirmation that both players remain active on the ATP tour through early June 2026. Conditional order logic should account for the 50-50 resolution clause: if either player withdraws after the match begins but fails to complete it, the market settles based on which player advanced. Monitor official ATP communications and tournament draw updates from mid-May onwards, as these provide the earliest signals of fixture changes or player status shifts that would affect settlement mechanics.

Methodology

This page reviews Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Bot UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Bot UK?

Zero. Polymarket Bot UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Bot UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.