Figueira Da Foz: Susan Bandecchi vs Alina Charaeva

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Susan Bandecchi’s meeting with Alina Charaeva in Figueira da Foz is a live WTA 125 quarter-final, and the market has already been priced to a **100% YES** outcome, which is the sort of number that typically signals the result has effectively been determined on the tour feed or by the exchange’s own settlement logic.[1][3][4] For programmatic users, the key check is whether the event is still marked as a completed advance rather than merely a live scoreboard state: a market at 100% can still be wrong if the underlying match is abandoned, voided, or later reclassified under the seven-day rule in the contract.

The main reference point is the pair’s recent head-to-head pattern, which includes a Bandecchi win in 2024 over Charaeva on hard court, alongside another recorded meeting in which Charaeva progressed in Figueira da Foz.[5][7][3] That split history matters because it shows the matchup is not structurally one-sided, so a fully resolved yes price is more likely to reflect the current state of play than an underlying pre-match edge. In practical terms, traders using bots or conditional orders would normally key off the official match status, the scoreline feed, and whether the tournament draw has advanced the winner, rather than the headline probability alone.[1][4]

The catalysts to watch are straightforward: any official retirement, walkover, suspension, or delay notice from the tournament, plus whether the match is listed as completed on the event pages and live-score services.[1][3][4] If the contest is not played at all, ends level, or is pushed beyond seven days without a winner, the contract terms point to a 50-50 resolution instead of a side winner, so automated checks should verify both the scheduled time and the final advancement status before treating the market as locked.[4]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Bot UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.