Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Alisa Oktiabreva vs Oceane Dodin Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Alisa Oktiabreva vs Oceane Dodin Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Alisa Oktiabreva vs Oceane Dodin | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Alisa Oktiabreva vs Oceane Dodin Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Alisa Oktiabreva vs Oceane Dodin Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Alisa Oktiabreva vs Oceane Dodin Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Alisa Oktiabreva vs Oceane Dodin Match O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Alisa Oktiabreva vs Oceane Dodin Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Alisa Oktiabreva vs Oceane Dodin Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Alisa Oktiabreva vs Oceane Dodin Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Alisa Oktiabreva vs Oceane Dodin Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Alisa Oktiabreva vs Oceane Dodin Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Alisa Oktiabreva vs Oceane Dodin Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Alisa Oktiabreva vs Oceane Dodin Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Alisa Okťabreva lost her opening-round match at the 2026 Livesport Prague Open to Océane Dodin, finishing with a 3–6, 3–6 scoreline on 20 July. The match has already concluded, meaning the prediction market titled “Livesport Prague Open: Alisa Oktiabreva vs Oceane Dodin” is effectively settled before its stated 2026 deadline, with Dodin advancing as the winner.
Historically, markets on completed tennis matches that retain a 0% crowd-implied probability for the loser reflect accurate post-event pricing, not uncertainty. In similar WTA first-round outcomes where the result is public, bots and conditional order scripts typically auto-resolve positions within minutes of the official score upload, avoiding exposure to the 50–50 cancellation clause that only applies to unplayed or indefinitely delayed matches.
Traders monitoring this market programmatically should watch for the official WTA match result feed and any tournament schedule updates confirming the match was played and completed. Since the result is already confirmed via live match coverage, no further announcements are expected; the settlement is deterministic. A recent live match report from isport.blesk.cz confirms Dodin’s victory and Okťabreva’s elimination, removing ambiguity for automated trading systems [1].
Sources: 1
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Bot UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Bot UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Livesport Prague Open: Alisa Oktiabreva vs Oceane Dodin on Polymarket Bot UK
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