Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Bot UK Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Bot UK.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 3 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 4 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 3.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
The China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffs features a third-place decider between All Gamers and TYLOO, scheduled for 30 May at 05:00 ET. This best-of-five match determines final seeding within China's domestic Valorant circuit and carries qualification implications for international events. The settlement window closes at the scheduled match time, meaning any delay beyond 7 days triggers a 50-50 resolution regardless of eventual outcome.
Historical precedent from Chinese Valorant playoffs shows TYLOO as a consistently higher-seeded organisation with deeper tournament experience, though All Gamers has demonstrated competitive volatility in recent seasons. Previous third-place matches in this circuit have rarely been cancelled outright; fixture delays typically occur within the 7-day window, creating practical settlement risk. The 100% crowd probability suggests either incomplete market information or confidence in match completion, though this warrants scrutiny given China's regional scheduling complexities.
Traders implementing conditional orders should monitor official China Evolution Series communications for fixture confirmation by 29 May. Roster changes or player availability announcements—particularly visa or travel restrictions affecting either squad—represent the primary catalyst for cancellation. Platform-level tracking of Chinese esports news feeds and TYLOO's official channels provides earliest notice of delays. The tight settlement window relative to match time means automated monitoring systems should flag any postponement announcements within 48 hours of the scheduled date, as this directly impacts resolution mechanics under the tie-or-delay clause.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Bot UK?
- Zero. Polymarket Bot UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Bot UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Valorant: All Gamers vs TYLOO (BO5) - China Evolutio… on Polymarket Bot UK
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