# of views of next MrBeast gaming video on day 1?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

MrBeast Gaming’s next upload has to be measured on a straight 24-hour view count from publication time, so the operational question is whether the channel can still deliver a large first-day spike or whether recent cadence points to a softer opening. The channel currently states a weekly schedule, with “New MrBeast or MrBeast Gaming video every single Saturday at noon eastern time”, which gives traders a practical timestamp to monitor for the next upload and then track day-one views against the contract window.[4]

The market reads like a low-liquidity test of baseline engagement rather than a binary event risk, because a 0% implied YES probability usually reflects either a very wide range ladder or thin confidence in the top brackets. Past MrBeast Gaming uploads have still cleared sizeable early counts: “Press This Button To Win $250,000” is shown at 22 million views on YouTube, which is enough to keep upper-bracket outcomes live if a new video lands with a strong thumbnail, broad premise, and immediate homepage pickup.[7] Programmatically, a trader would model this as a time-stamped scrape of the channel’s latest upload followed by polling the public view count at fixed intervals until the 24-hour mark, with a fallback to the lowest bracket if nothing is posted by the deadline.[4][7]

Catalysts are mostly scheduling and cross-channel attention. MrBeast’s broader release calendar has been active this year: *Beast Games* season 2 finished its run on Amazon Prime Video on 25 February 2026, which can matter insofar as it competes for audience attention across the MrBeast ecosystem.[1][2][8] For a bot or alert stack, the key dependencies are upload detection, time-zone handling for the 24-hour clock, and whether the next video is a standard long-form upload rather than a short, since the market resolves only from the first YouTube video posted by MrBeast Gaming within the stated window.[4]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Bot UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Bot UK?

Zero. Polymarket Bot UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.