Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Bot UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Bot UK.
Active sub-markets
Market context
MrBeast's latest YouTube upload will accumulate views across its first 48 hours post-publication. The resolution hinges on the exact view count at the 48-hour mark, with brackets determining settlement. Automated monitoring of the channel's public view counter provides the data source; traders implementing conditional orders or API-based tracking can capture real-time view velocity without manual refreshes.
MrBeast's historical performance shows consistent first-48-hour view patterns. His videos routinely exceed 50 million views within two days, with recent uploads in the 60–100 million range depending on content type and release timing. The 0% crowd probability suggests either no active liquidity, a settlement window perceived as distant, or market participants awaiting confirmation of which video constitutes "the latest." His upload cadence averages one major video per week, though scheduling varies. Comparative analysis across his catalogue reveals weekday releases typically outperform weekend drops by 10–15% in the first 24 hours due to algorithmic promotion and audience availability patterns.
Catalysts affecting view accumulation include thumbnail design, title optimisation, and algorithmic placement—all determined before publication. External factors include competing major releases from other creators and platform algorithm shifts. Traders should monitor his social channels for upload announcements, which typically precede publication by hours. The settlement window closing in June 2026 allows sufficient time for the full 48-hour window plus resolution confirmation, though traders using automated tracking systems should account for potential YouTube API latency or view-count refresh delays when setting conditional order thresholds.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket Bot UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Bot UK?
- Zero. Polymarket Bot UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade # of views of MrBeast video day 2? on Polymarket Bot UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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