Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Bot UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Bot UK.
Active sub-markets
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-6.5) vs GenOne (+6.5) | 0% 100 Thieves | 100% GenOne |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-9.5) vs GenOne (+9.5) | 0% 100 Thieves | 100% GenOne |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs GenOne (+3.5) | 100% 100 Thieves | 0% GenOne |
| Match Winner | 0% GenOne | 100% 100 Thieves |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
Market context
GenOne’s quarter-final against 100 Thieves in the CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffs was scheduled as a best-of-three, and the published match pages indicate it was due to be played on 20 June 2026, with live coverage pages later showing a 0:2 result for 100 Thieves[1][2][4]. For a market that is still sitting at 0% YES, the key practical point is that a completed scoreline on the record removes most of the ambiguity: if the result is confirmed and the market has not yet settled, the outstanding risk is usually operational rather than sporting. In bot terms, this is the sort of event where a watcher should check the bracket state, the live score feed, and whether the exchange has mapped the fixture to the correct participant labels before placing any conditional order.
The probability should be read against 100 Thieves’ relatively recent Counter-Strike return, which Liquipedia dates to November 2025, making this a newer roster context than long-running tier-one lineups[6]. That matters because prediction markets on young teams can move sharply on short run samples, especially in best-of-three formats where veto quality and map pool depth can dominate a single upset result. Programmatically, the main catalysts to monitor are official bracket updates, delayed start notices, and whether the fixture is marked complete across multiple match databases; if the match had been abandoned or pushed beyond the settlement window, the market rules would instead force a 50-50 outcome, but the available match pages point to a finished BO3 rather than a cancelled fixture[1][2][4].
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Bot UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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