Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Bot UK Pick polygram.ink |
50% | 50% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
50% | 50% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Bot UK.
Active sub-markets
| Map 2 Winner | 50% xept | 50% Clutchain |
| Match Winner | 50% xept | 50% Clutchain |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 50% Over | 50% Under |
| Map Handicap: CC (-1.5) vs xept (+1.5) | 50% Clutchain | 50% xept |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% Over | 50% Under |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Clutchain (-3.5) vs xept (+3.5) | 50% Clutchain | 50% xept |
Market context
The match is a **best-of-three CS2 elimination game** in United21 Group B between xept and Clutchain, with the market set to resolve on the team that wins the series. Bo3.gg lists the scheduled fixture for 20 June at 11:30 and shows a 0–1 result line, while Sofascore also carried the same matchup as a live event starting at 10:30 UTC, which is consistent with a completed or in-progress series rather than an unplayed fixture.[1][3]
A **50% crowd price** is easiest to read as a neutral baseline when the market is not clearly anchored by form, seeding, or a confirmed live score feed. For programmatic trading, the practical comparison is not the headline probability but whether the venue has already published a decisive result: if a scoreboard or match page flips to a final winner, the edge is mostly in execution speed; if there is no result and the event stalls, resolution risk shifts towards the market’s cancellation and delay rules. Clutchain had already beaten xept 2:0 in a prior head-to-head referenced by EGamersWorld, which is the kind of single data point that can support a slight pre-match lean without making the outcome mechanical.[6]
The main catalysts to watch are **official bracket updates, live score confirmation, and any delay or forfeiture notices** from United21, because the market only settles cleanly if the match is completed with a winner. United21’s own schedule posts show Group B slots clustered through the day, which matters for automation because a postponement or bracket reshuffle can change whether a delayed BO3 is still live within the seven-day window or falls back to 50-50.[4] For conditional orders or bots, the cleanest trigger is a verified final score from a match page rather than the market feed alone, since the settlement rules depend on whether play finished, not simply whether the fixture was listed.[2]
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket Bot UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Bot UK?
- Zero. Polymarket Bot UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: xept vs Clutchain (BO3) - United21 G… on Polymarket Bot UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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