Dota 2: Execration vs Mentality Monster (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Execration’s lower-bracket quarter-final against Mentality Monster in the Southeast Asia closed qualifier is the kind of Bo3 that can move quickly from low-liquidity speculation to hard information once draft sheets and official lobby status appear. With the market implying only a 10% chance on Execration, the book is effectively pricing them as a major outsider, even though live match markets elsewhere still show Execration as the clearer side to take maps, including an 1.21 price to win at least one map and a 1.72 price for a 2-0 win on Bo3.gg.[1]

For historical framing, the main limitation is that these teams have no recorded head-to-head history, so traders cannot lean on direct matchup data to calibrate the line.[2] In practice, a programmatic approach would weight bracket position, map handicap pricing, and whether the series starts on time rather than overfitting to the pre-match percentage alone. The absence of prior meetings also means the market can reprice sharply if one roster shows up with substitute line-ups, role changes, or a visibly favoured draft pattern in game one.[2][4]

The key catalysts are confirmation of the series start, official bracket progression, and any caster/admin posts indicating a delay, remake, or walkover; live listings already place the match in the TI 2026 Southeast Asia regional qualifier window on 22 June.[3] If the series slips materially, the settlement terms matter: no result within seven days of the scheduled date resolves 50-50, so bot logic should track the timestamp against that deadline and treat any cancellation or tie as non-deciding rather than a win for either side.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Dota 2: Execration vs Mentality Monster (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Bot UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Bot UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Bot UK?

Zero. Polymarket Bot UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.