Market statistics
- Total volume
- $373K
- 24h volume
- $253K
- Open interest
- $14K
Available prediction outcomes (43)
Sorted by descending live probability. Click any outcome to trade it on PolyGram.
Market context
Team Heretics Academy and Barça eSports will contest the first semifinal of the Liga Española de Videojuegos (LES) League of Legends playoffs on 3 June at 16:00 BST. The match is a best-of-five series; the winner advances to the final. Both teams qualified through the regular season, with Heretics Academy operating as the academy roster of the LEC-competing Heretics organisation, whilst Barça eSports competes as the esports division of the football club.
The 100% implied probability reflects the structural certainty of a scheduled LES playoff match rather than confidence in either team's victory. Historical LES playoff matches have proceeded as scheduled with minimal cancellations or delays; the league operates under established broadcast windows and venue arrangements. Comparable academy-versus-established-club matchups in regional European LoL competitions typically see completion rates above 98%, with delays beyond the seven-day threshold exceptionally rare. The settlement window extends to 21:00 BST on 3 June, providing a four-hour buffer after the scheduled start.
Traders monitoring this market should track LES official communications for any fixture changes, roster availability announcements, or technical issues affecting broadcast infrastructure. Recent LES seasons have maintained consistent scheduling through June playoffs without significant disruptions. Conditional order logic should account for the match beginning but potentially not completing—a scenario that would trigger the 50-50 resolution. Programmatic tracking of LES's official schedule and any force majeure announcements remains the primary data dependency for this market.
Wikipedia Context
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Lol Hamlett
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Methodology
We track LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Barça eSports (BO5) - LES Playoffs across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Resolution source: This market settles from the official publication at https://www.twitch.tv/LES. A proposer submits the result to the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon, the two-hour challenge window opens, and the smart contract pays out in USDC.
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Barça eSports (BO5) - … on PolyGram
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