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LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

Comparison of odds and platforms for "LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Polymarket Bot UK.

Match Winner 60% Game 1 Winner 56% Game 2 Winner 56% Any Player Penta Kill 52% Volume: $72K Liquidity: $734K Closes: 6 Aug 2026
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LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
60% 40% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
60% 40% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner60%
Game 1 Winner56%
Game 2 Winner56%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
First Blood in Game 1?52%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?52%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
O/U 2.5 Games48%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?41%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?40%
Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+1.5)33%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 60% probability to lol: invictus gaming vs ninjas in pyjamas (bo3) - lpl group nirvana. This market refers to the LoL match between Invictus Gaming and Ninjas in Pyjamas in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for August 6 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming…

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

Trade LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LP… on Polymarket Bot UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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