Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
51% | 49% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
51% | 49% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 51% |
| First Blood in Game 1? | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
Market context
Ici Japon Corp. Esport and Skillcamp Esport are scheduled to play a single best-of-one in the LFL regular season, with standard match settlement depending on a recorded winner rather than map differential. The current crowd-implied **0% YES** is far below comparable market views on the same pairing earlier in the season, when the two sides met in April and Ici Japon won 1–0; that prior result is the cleanest head-to-head reference point for programmatic models that weight direct matchup history more than broad roster reputation.[1][3][8]
For a trader running alerts or conditional orders, the practical inputs are whether the fixture stays on the published start time, whether the official tournament schedule still lists it as live, and whether any postponement pushes it beyond the seven-day resolution window, which would force a 50-50 outcome under the market rules. Public match listings currently place the game at 16:00 UTC on 4 August 2026, but the market description uses a 12:00pm ET start, so bots should normalise time zones and watch for organiser updates or feed changes rather than rely on one calendar entry alone.[2][10][13] Recent booking-style markets on this same fixture have also shown wide disagreement, with one venue pricing Skillcamp marginally ahead while another had Ici Japon as a heavy favourite, which is a useful signal that latency, roster confirmation, and market-maker inventory can matter as much as team form in short-dated esports contracts.[9][15]
Methodology
This page reviews LoL: Ici Japon Corp. Esport vs Skillcamp Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Season across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Bot UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade LoL: Ici Japon Corp. Esport vs Skillcamp Esport (BO1… on Polymarket Bot UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →