Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Match Winner | 100% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 90% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 10% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 10% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 10% |
Market context
Team Solid face Vivo Keyd Stars Academy in a single-game Circuito Desafiante regular-season match, and the market is being priced as if the fixture has either already been decided or is overwhelmingly likely to resolve on the labelled side. That sort of 100% crowd-implied probability usually reflects a combination of near-total consensus and little visible uncertainty in the settlement path, rather than a literal guarantee of the in-game result.
The most useful prior for reading this market is the teams’ earlier head-to-head in the same competition: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy beat Team Solid 1–0 in April 2026, and several match listings still show VKS.A as the stronger side in this pairing.[1][2][15] In comparable listings, VKS.A have been priced as the clear favourite, with bookmaker-style odds around 1.31 for Vivo Keyd Stars Academy and 3.20 for Team Solid, while independent prediction pages have also leaned heavily towards VKS.A.[6][9][13][19] For a programmatic approach, that means treating the market as highly sensitive to any correction in the underlying event metadata, not just the game outcome.
The key catalysts to watch are whether the match is actually confirmed on the schedule, whether the published start time shifts, and whether any official source records a cancellation, walkover, or delay beyond the seven-day settlement window. Public fixtures around this pairing have varied in timestamp and even in series format across aggregators, with some pages showing BO1 and others referencing different scheduling contexts, so automated tools should cross-check the event ID, date, and competition stage before firing conditional orders or copy-trading logic.[3][5][7][10][12][20] Given the current settlement rules, the main operational risk is not the competitive result but a mismatch between the market description and the final event record.
Methodology
This page reviews LoL: Team Solid vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Bot UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Bot UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade LoL: Team Solid vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO1) - C… on Polymarket Bot UK
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