Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire - Total Corners

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Germany and Côte d’Ivoire are scheduled to meet in a FIFA World Cup knockout fixture, and the corners market is settled on the combined total across regulation, stoppage time and any extra time played. Kalshi’s contract rules specify a **YES** outcome if the match reaches **12 or more corners** in the full game, so the key modelling task is not the scoreline itself but the expected tempo, crossing volume and defensive clearances that drive corner counts.[6]

The current **100% YES** crowd-implied probability is consistent with a live price that has already fully absorbed the match outcome, which Reuters reported finished **Germany 2-1 Côte d’Ivoire** after a late winner from Deniz Undav.[3] The Analyst also described the game as a comeback decided by a 94th-minute goal, with Undav scoring twice off the bench.[2] For a programmatic trader, that means the useful historical comparator is not a generic Germany match, but a high-leverage knockout game that produced late pressure and extra attacking phases, the sort of state-dependent flow that often lifts corner totals above pre-match baselines.

For a tooling-led approach, the main catalysts are the team sheets, any late injury or rotation news, and confirmation that the market’s settlement clock has not shifted because of rescheduling or cancellation terms.[6] In practice, a bot or conditional order stack would watch official line-ups, substitution patterns and in-play corner pace, then compare those live signals with the contract’s fixed threshold. Reuters’ match report is relevant because it confirms the fixture has already been decided on the pitch, so any remaining action is administrative rather than sporting.[3]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Bot UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Bot UK?

Zero. Polymarket Bot UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Bot UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.