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National Bank Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet

How the prediction-market book is pricing "National Bank Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

National Bank Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet Match O/U 23.5 56% Completed Match 50% National Bank Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet Match O/U 21.5 50% National Bank Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet Set 2 O/U 8.5 50% Volume: $149K Liquidity: $180K Closes: 9 Aug 2026
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National Bank Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
56% 44% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
56% 44% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
National Bank Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet Match O/U 23.556%
Completed Match50%
National Bank Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet Match O/U 21.550%
National Bank Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet Set 2 O/U 8.550%
National Bank Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet Set 1 O/U 8.550%
National Bank Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet Match O/U 22.550%
National Bank Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet Set 1 O/U 9.550%
National Bank Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet Set 2 O/U 9.550%
National Bank Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet Set 1 O/U 10.550%
National Bank Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet Set 2 O/U 10.550%
National Bank Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet45%
National Bank Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet Total Sets: O/U 2.543%
National Bank Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet Set Handicap +/-1.539%
National Bank Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet Set 1 Winner32%
National Bank Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet Set 2 Winner28%
National Bank Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet Set Handicap +/-1.518%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, national bank open: luca van assche vs titouan droguet stands at 56% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Van Assche and Titouan Droguet in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 2, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market wil…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Bot UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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