Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Bogota: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Felipe Meligeni Alves Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Bogota: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Felipe Meligeni Alves Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Bogota: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Felipe Meligeni Alves Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Bogota: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Felipe Meligeni Alves Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| Bogota: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Felipe Meligeni Alves | 0% |
| Bogota: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Felipe Meligeni Alves Match O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Bogota: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Felipe Meligeni Alves Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| Bogota: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Felipe Meligeni Alves Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Bogota: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Felipe Meligeni Alves Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Bogota: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Felipe Meligeni Alves Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Bogota: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Felipe Meligeni Alves Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| Bogota: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Felipe Meligeni Alves Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Bogota: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Felipe Meligeni Alves Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Bogota: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Felipe Meligeni Alves Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Bogota: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Felipe Meligeni Alves Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of bogota: rodrigo pacheco vs felipe meligeni alves. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Rodrigo Pacheco and Felipe Meligeni Alves in the Bogota, originally scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolv…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Bot UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Bot UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Bogota: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Felipe Meligeni Alves on Polymarket Bot UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →