Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Istanbul 2: Akira Santillan vs Digvijaypratap Singh | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Istanbul 2: Akira Santillan vs Digvijaypratap Singh Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Istanbul 2: Akira Santillan vs Digvijaypratap Singh Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Istanbul 2: Akira Santillan vs Digvijaypratap Singh Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Istanbul 2: Akira Santillan vs Digvijaypratap Singh Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Istanbul 2: Akira Santillan vs Digvijaypratap Singh Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Istanbul 2: Akira Santillan vs Digvijaypratap Singh Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Istanbul 2: Akira Santillan vs Digvijaypratap Singh Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Istanbul 2: Akira Santillan vs Digvijaypratap Singh Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| Istanbul 2: Akira Santillan vs Digvijaypratap Singh Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Istanbul 2: Akira Santillan vs Digvijaypratap Singh Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Istanbul 2: Akira Santillan vs Digvijaypratap Singh Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Istanbul 2: Akira Santillan vs Digvijaypratap Singh Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Istanbul 2: Akira Santillan vs Digvijaypratap Singh Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Istanbul 2: Akira Santillan vs Digvijaypratap Singh Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of istanbul 2: akira santillan vs digvijaypratap singh. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Akira Santillan and Digvijaypratap Singh in the Istanbul 2, originally scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will r…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Bot UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade Istanbul 2: Akira Santillan vs Digvijaypratap Singh on Polymarket Bot UK
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