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Hagen: Carlos Taberner vs Juan Bautista Torres

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Hagen: Carlos Taberner vs Juan Bautista Torres" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Hagen: Carlos Taberner vs Juan Bautista Torres 100% Completed Match 100% Hagen: Carlos Taberner vs Juan Bautista Torres Set 1 Winner 100% Hagen: Carlos Taberner vs Juan Bautista Torres Set Handicap +/-1.5 100% Volume: $191K Closes: 11 Aug 2026
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Hagen: Carlos Taberner vs Juan Bautista Torres

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Hagen: Carlos Taberner vs Juan Bautista Torres100%
Completed Match100%
Hagen: Carlos Taberner vs Juan Bautista Torres Set 1 Winner100%
Hagen: Carlos Taberner vs Juan Bautista Torres Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Hagen: Carlos Taberner vs Juan Bautista Torres Set 2 Winner100%
Hagen: Carlos Taberner vs Juan Bautista Torres Match O/U 21.50%
Hagen: Carlos Taberner vs Juan Bautista Torres Set 1 O/U 8.50%
Hagen: Carlos Taberner vs Juan Bautista Torres Set 2 O/U 8.50%
Hagen: Carlos Taberner vs Juan Bautista Torres Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Hagen: Carlos Taberner vs Juan Bautista Torres Match O/U 22.50%
Hagen: Carlos Taberner vs Juan Bautista Torres Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Hagen: Carlos Taberner vs Juan Bautista Torres Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Hagen: Carlos Taberner vs Juan Bautista Torres Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Hagen: Carlos Taberner vs Juan Bautista Torres Match O/U 23.50%
Hagen: Carlos Taberner vs Juan Bautista Torres Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Hagen: Carlos Taberner vs Juan Bautista Torres Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to hagen: carlos taberner vs juan bautista torres. This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Taberner and Juan Bautista Torres in the Hagen, originally scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Tabern…

Methodology

This page reviews Hagen: Carlos Taberner vs Juan Bautista Torres across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Bot UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Trade Hagen: Carlos Taberner vs Juan Bautista Torres on Polymarket Bot UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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Related Topics

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