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Belgium vs. Senegal - Player Props

Five-platform snapshot of "Belgium vs. Senegal - Player Props" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Ismaïla Sarr: 1+ goals 100% Romelu Lukaku: 1+ goals 100% Dodi Lukebakio: 1+ shots 100% Ismaïla Sarr: 1+ shots 100% Volume: $469K Liquidity: $682K Closes: 1 Jul 2026
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Belgium vs. Senegal - Player Props

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Ismaïla Sarr: 1+ goals100%
Romelu Lukaku: 1+ goals100%
Dodi Lukebakio: 1+ shots100%
Ismaïla Sarr: 1+ shots100%
Ismaïla Sarr: 2+ shots100%
Ismaïla Sarr: 3+ shots100%
Ismaïla Sarr: 4+ shots100%
Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ shots100%
Leandro Trossard: 1+ shots100%
Sadio Mané: 1+ shots100%
Leandro Trossard: 1+ assists100%
Kevin De Bruyne: 2+ shots99%
Romelu Lukaku: 1+ shots92%
Dodi Lukebakio: 2+ shots84%
Ibrahim Mbaye: 1+ shots80%
Leandro Trossard: 1+ goals + assists60%
Ismaïla Sarr: 1+ goals + assists54%
Thibaut Courtois: 2+ saves51%
Dodi Lukebakio: 1+ shots on target51%
Ismaïla Sarr: 1+ shots on target51%
Leandro Trossard: 1+ shots on target51%
Sadio Mané: 1+ shots on target51%
Thibaut Courtois: 3+ saves50%
Thibaut Courtois: 4+ saves50%
Thibaut Courtois: 5+ saves50%
Edouard Mendy: 3+ saves50%
Edouard Mendy: 4+ saves50%
Dodi Lukebakio: 3+ shots50%
Chérif Ndiaye: 4+ shots on target50%
Dodi Lukebakio: 2+ shots on target50%
Dodi Lukebakio: 3+ shots on target50%
Ibrahim Mbaye: 1+ shots on target50%
Ibrahim Mbaye: 2+ shots on target50%
Ibrahim Mbaye: 3+ shots on target50%
Ismaïla Sarr: 2+ shots on target50%
Ismaïla Sarr: 3+ shots on target50%
Jeremy Doku: 1+ shots on target50%
Jeremy Doku: 2+ shots on target50%
Jeremy Doku: 3+ shots on target50%
Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ shots on target50%
Kevin De Bruyne: 2+ shots on target50%
Kevin De Bruyne: 3+ shots on target50%
Leandro Trossard: 2+ shots on target50%
Leandro Trossard: 3+ shots on target50%
Matias Fernandez-Pardo: 1+ shots on target50%
Matias Fernandez-Pardo: 2+ shots on target50%
Matias Fernandez-Pardo: 3+ shots on target50%
Nicolas Jackson: 1+ shots on target50%
Nicolas Jackson: 2+ shots on target50%
Nicolas Jackson: 3+ shots on target50%
Nicolas Jackson: 4+ shots on target50%
Romelu Lukaku: 1+ shots on target50%
Romelu Lukaku: 2+ shots on target50%
Romelu Lukaku: 3+ shots on target50%
Romelu Lukaku: 4+ shots on target50%
Sadio Mané: 2+ shots on target50%
Sadio Mané: 3+ shots on target50%
Sadio Mané: 4+ shots on target50%
Chérif Ndiaye: 1+ shots on target50%
Chérif Ndiaye: 2+ shots on target50%
Chérif Ndiaye: 3+ shots on target50%
Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ shots on target50%
Charles De Ketelaere: 2+ shots on target50%
Charles De Ketelaere: 3+ shots on target50%
Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ goals + assists50%
Charles De Ketelaere: 2+ goals + assists50%
Charles De Ketelaere: 3+ goals + assists50%
Ismaïla Sarr: 2+ goals + assists50%
Ismaïla Sarr: 3+ goals + assists50%
Jeremy Doku: 1+ goals + assists50%
Jeremy Doku: 2+ goals + assists50%
Jeremy Doku: 3+ goals + assists50%
Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ goals + assists50%
Kevin De Bruyne: 2+ goals + assists50%
Kevin De Bruyne: 3+ goals + assists50%
Leandro Trossard: 2+ goals + assists50%
Leandro Trossard: 3+ goals + assists50%
Sadio Mané: 1+ goals + assists50%
Sadio Mané: 2+ goals + assists50%
Sadio Mané: 3+ goals + assists50%
Kevin De Bruyne: 4+ shots on target50%
Charles De Ketelaere: 4+ shots on target50%
Bamba Dieng: 3+ shots on target50%
Matias Fernandez-Pardo: 4+ shots on target50%
Romelu Lukaku: 1+ goals + assists50%
Romelu Lukaku: 2+ goals + assists50%
Romelu Lukaku: 3+ goals + assists50%
Romelu Lukaku: 4+ goals + assists50%
Bamba Dieng: 1+ shots on target50%
Bamba Dieng: 2+ shots on target50%
Dodi Lukebakio: 5+ shots49%
Ibrahim Mbaye: 3+ shots49%
Ibrahim Mbaye: 4+ shots49%
Ismaïla Sarr: 5+ shots49%
Jeremy Doku: 4+ shots49%
Leandro Trossard: 5+ shots49%
Nicolas Jackson: 1+ shots49%
Nicolas Jackson: 2+ shots49%
Nicolas Jackson: 3+ shots49%
Nicolas Jackson: 4+ shots49%
Nicolas Jackson: 5+ shots49%
Sadio Mané: 3+ shots49%
Sadio Mané: 4+ shots49%
Sadio Mané: 5+ shots49%
Charles De Ketelaere: 5+ shots49%
Kevin De Bruyne: 4+ goals + assists49%
Leandro Trossard: 4+ goals + assists49%
Bamba Dieng: 1+ shots49%
Bamba Dieng: 2+ shots49%
Bamba Dieng: 3+ shots49%
Bamba Dieng: 4+ shots49%
Bamba Dieng: 5+ shots49%
Leandro Trossard: 3+ shots48%
Leandro Trossard: 4+ shots48%
Romelu Lukaku: 3+ shots48%
Romelu Lukaku: 4+ shots48%
Romelu Lukaku: 5+ shots48%
Charles De Ketelaere: 3+ shots48%
Edouard Mendy: 2+ saves47%
Edouard Mendy: 5+ saves47%
Ibrahim Mbaye: 5+ shots47%
Charles De Ketelaere: 4+ goals + assists47%
Ismaïla Sarr: 4+ goals + assists47%
Jeremy Doku: 4+ goals + assists47%
Sadio Mané: 4+ goals + assists47%
Matias Fernandez-Pardo: 1+ goals46%
Bamba Dieng: 1+ goals42%
Sadio Mané: 2+ shots40%
Jeremy Doku: 5+ shots38%
Dodi Lukebakio: 4+ shots33%
Chérif Ndiaye: 1+ shots30%
Dodi Lukebakio: 1+ goals28%
Matias Fernandez-Pardo: 1+ shots28%
Chérif Ndiaye: 2+ shots27%
Ibrahim Mbaye: 2+ shots25%
Romelu Lukaku: 1+ assists25%
Chérif Ndiaye: 3+ shots23%
Ismaïla Sarr: 2+ assists23%
Matias Fernandez-Pardo: 2+ shots22%
Dodi Lukebakio: 2+ goals18%
Matias Fernandez-Pardo: 3+ shots18%
Matias Fernandez-Pardo: 4+ shots14%
Bamba Dieng: 2+ goals13%
Bamba Dieng: 3+ goals13%
Chérif Ndiaye: 2+ goals13%
Chérif Ndiaye: 3+ goals13%
Dodi Lukebakio: 3+ goals13%
Matias Fernandez-Pardo: 2+ goals13%
Matias Fernandez-Pardo: 3+ goals13%
Ibrahim Mbaye: 2+ goals13%
Ibrahim Mbaye: 3+ goals13%
Sadio Mané: 2+ assists13%
Romelu Lukaku: 2+ assists13%
Chérif Ndiaye: 5+ shots11%
Leandro Trossard: 2+ shots10%
Matias Fernandez-Pardo: 5+ shots10%
Chérif Ndiaye: 4+ shots9%
Romelu Lukaku: 2+ shots8%
Jeremy Doku: 1+ shots7%
Ismaïla Sarr: 3+ goals5%
Kevin De Bruyne: 3+ shots5%
Ismaïla Sarr: 1+ assists5%
Chérif Ndiaye: 1+ goals4%
Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ shots3%
Ismaïla Sarr: 2+ goals2%
Ibrahim Mbaye: 1+ goals2%
Kevin De Bruyne: 5+ shots2%
Charles De Ketelaere: 2+ assists2%
Leandro Trossard: 2+ goals1%
Nicolas Jackson: 3+ goals1%
Jeremy Doku: 2+ shots1%
Charles De Ketelaere: 2+ shots1%
Jeremy Doku: 1+ assists1%
Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ assists1%
Leandro Trossard: 2+ assists1%
Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ goals0%
Charles De Ketelaere: 2+ goals0%
Charles De Ketelaere: 3+ goals0%
Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ goals0%
Kevin De Bruyne: 2+ goals0%
Kevin De Bruyne: 3+ goals0%
Leandro Trossard: 1+ goals0%
Leandro Trossard: 3+ goals0%
Nicolas Jackson: 1+ goals0%
Nicolas Jackson: 2+ goals0%
Romelu Lukaku: 2+ goals0%
Romelu Lukaku: 3+ goals0%
Jeremy Doku: 1+ goals0%
Jeremy Doku: 2+ goals0%
Jeremy Doku: 3+ goals0%
Sadio Mané: 1+ goals0%
Sadio Mané: 2+ goals0%
Sadio Mané: 3+ goals0%
Jeremy Doku: 3+ shots0%
Kevin De Bruyne: 4+ shots0%
Charles De Ketelaere: 4+ shots0%
Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ assists0%
Jeremy Doku: 2+ assists0%
Kevin De Bruyne: 2+ assists0%
Sadio Mané: 1+ assists0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of belgium vs. senegal - player props. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Belgium and Senegal, scheduled for July 1 at 4:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Bot UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
and

Trade Belgium vs. Senegal - Player Props on Polymarket Bot UK

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