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Bogota: Dmitry Popko vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida

Five-platform snapshot of "Bogota: Dmitry Popko vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Bogota: Dmitry Popko vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Bogota: Dmitry Popko vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Bogota: Dmitry Popko vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 2 Winner 100% Bogota: Dmitry Popko vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 2 O/U 9.5 100% Volume: $581K Liquidity: $98K Closes: 14 Jul 2026
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Bogota: Dmitry Popko vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Bogota: Dmitry Popko vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Bogota: Dmitry Popko vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Bogota: Dmitry Popko vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 2 Winner100%
Bogota: Dmitry Popko vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Bogota: Dmitry Popko vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Total Sets: O/U 2.551%
Bogota: Dmitry Popko vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set Handicap +/-1.551%
Completed Match50%
Bogota: Dmitry Popko vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Match O/U 21.550%
Bogota: Dmitry Popko vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Match O/U 22.550%
Bogota: Dmitry Popko vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set Handicap +/-1.550%
Bogota: Dmitry Popko vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Match O/U 23.550%
Bogota: Dmitry Popko vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida29%
Bogota: Dmitry Popko vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 1 Winner0%
Bogota: Dmitry Popko vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Bogota: Dmitry Popko vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Bogota: Dmitry Popko vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, bogota: dmitry popko vs matheus pucinelli de almeida stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Dmitry Popko and Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida in the Bogota, originally scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will r…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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