Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
93% | 7% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
93% | 7% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 195.5 | 93% |
| 3Q O/U 42.5 | 93% |
| O/U 197.5 | 91% |
| 4Q O/U 42.5 | 89% |
| O/U 199.5 | 88% |
| 3Q O/U 44.5 | 88% |
| 4Q O/U 44.5 | 88% |
| O/U 201.5 | 86% |
| 1H O/U 97.5 | 85% |
| Brandon Miller: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 84% |
| O/U 203.5 | 83% |
| Wizards O/U 98.5 | 83% |
| Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 1.5 | 82% |
| O/U 205.5 | 80% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 5.5 | 80% |
| 3Q O/U 46.5 | 79% |
| Brandon Miller: Assists O/U 1.5 | 78% |
| 1H O/U 107.5 | 78% |
| Wizards O/U 100.5 | 78% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 14.5 | 77% |
| Trae Young: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 77% |
| Brandon Miller: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 76% |
| 4Q O/U 50.5 | 76% |
| O/U 207.5 | 75% |
| Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 75% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Points O/U 9.5 | 74% |
| Grayson Allen: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 73% |
| O/U 209.5 | 72% |
| 3Q O/U 48.5 | 72% |
| Wizards O/U 102.5 | 72% |
| Grayson Allen: Assists O/U 1.5 | 71% |
| Kyshawn George: Points O/U 9.5 | 70% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 7.5 | 70% |
| Anthony Davis: Assists O/U 1.5 | 69% |
| O/U 211.5 | 68% |
| Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 67% |
| Moussa Diabaté: Steals O/U 0.5 | 67% |
| Anthony Davis: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 67% |
| Wizards O/U 104.5 | 67% |
| Brandon Miller: Points O/U 19.5 | 65% |
| O/U 213.5 | 64% |
| Naz Reid: Points O/U 14.5 | 64% |
| 3Q O/U 50.5 | 64% |
| Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 63% |
| Brandon Miller: Points O/U 24.5 | 62% |
| Moussa Diabaté: Assists O/U 1.5 | 61% |
| Wizards O/U 106.5 | 61% |
| Trae Young: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 60% |
| Naz Reid: Assists O/U 1.5 | 60% |
| O/U 215.5 | 59% |
| 1H O/U 109.5 | 59% |
| Moussa Diabaté: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 58% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 19.5 | 57% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Assists O/U 1.5 | 57% |
| Alexandre Sarr: Assists O/U 1.5 | 56% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 56% |
| Grayson Allen: Steals O/U 0.5 | 56% |
| 3Q O/U 52.5 | 56% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 1.5 | 55% |
| 1Q O/U 55.5 | 55% |
| Hornets O/U 108.5 | 55% |
| O/U 217.5 | 54% |
| Moussa Diabaté: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 54% |
| Kyshawn George: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 54% |
| 1H O/U 99.5 | 54% |
| 1Q O/U 45.5 | 54% |
| 1Q O/U 47.5 | 54% |
| Wizards O/U 108.5 | 54% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 14.5 | 53% |
| 1H O/U 111.5 | 53% |
| 1Q O/U 49.5 | 53% |
| 1Q O/U 51.5 | 53% |
| 1Q O/U 53.5 | 53% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Points O/U 14.5 | 52% |
| 2Q O/U 55.5 | 52% |
| Hornets vs. Wizards | 51% |
| Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Grayson Allen: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 101.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 103.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 105.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Naz Reid: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 123.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 127.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 129.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 43.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 45.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 47.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 40.5 | 50% |
| Hornets O/U 92.5 | 50% |
| Hornets O/U 94.5 | 50% |
| Hornets O/U 96.5 | 50% |
| Hornets O/U 98.5 | 50% |
| Hornets O/U 100.5 | 50% |
| Hornets O/U 102.5 | 50% |
| Hornets O/U 104.5 | 50% |
| Hornets O/U 106.5 | 50% |
| Hornets 1H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Hornets 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 1H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Hornets 1H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 1H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Hornets 1H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 1H O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| Hornets 1H O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 1H O/U 66.5 | 50% |
| Hornets 1H O/U 66.5 | 50% |
| Hornets 1H O/U 46.5 | 50% |
| Hornets 1H O/U 48.5 | 50% |
| Hornets 1H O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| Hornets 1H O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| Hornets 1H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Hornets 2H O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| Hornets 2H O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Hornets 2H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Hornets 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 1H O/U 46.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 1H O/U 48.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 1H O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 1H O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 1H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 1H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 1H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 2H O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 2H O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 2H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 67.5 | 50% |
| O/U 219.5 | 49% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Brandon Miller: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Grayson Allen: Points O/U 14.5 | 49% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Brandon Miller: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Moussa Diabaté: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Moussa Diabaté: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Sion James: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Hornets 1H O/U 56.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 49% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 49% |
| Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 3.5 | 48% |
| Brandon Miller: Points O/U 14.5 | 48% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 48% |
| Brandon Miller: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 48% |
| Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Grayson Allen: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 48% |
| Naz Reid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 48% |
| Sion James: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -18.5 | 48% |
| Hornets O/U 110.5 | 48% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 48% |
| 1Q O/U 69.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 47% |
| Alexandre Sarr: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 47% |
| Moussa Diabaté: Points O/U 4.5 | 47% |
| Moussa Diabaté: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 47% |
| Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 47% |
| Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 47% |
| 1Q O/U 59.5 | 47% |
| 2Q O/U 57.5 | 47% |
| 3Q O/U 54.5 | 47% |
| Hornets O/U 112.5 | 47% |
| Hornets O/U 114.5 | 47% |
| Hornets O/U 116.5 | 47% |
| Hornets O/U 118.5 | 47% |
| 3Q O/U 53.5 | 47% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 47% |
| 1Q O/U 61.5 | 47% |
| 2Q O/U 59.5 | 47% |
| 1Q O/U 63.5 | 47% |
| 1Q O/U 65.5 | 47% |
| Hornets O/U 120.5 | 47% |
| Hornets O/U 122.5 | 47% |
| Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| Spread -1.5 | 46% |
| 1H O/U 113.5 | 46% |
| Sion James: Assists O/U 1.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 46% |
| 1Q O/U 57.5 | 46% |
| Wizards O/U 110.5 | 46% |
| O/U 221.5 | 45% |
| Moussa Diabaté: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 45% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 44% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 44% |
| Spread -2.5 | 43% |
| 1H O/U 114.5 | 43% |
| Moussa Diabaté: Points O/U 9.5 | 43% |
| Sion James: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 43% |
| Brandon Miller: Assists O/U 3.5 | 43% |
| Grayson Allen: Assists O/U 3.5 | 43% |
| Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 43% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| Spread -3.5 | 42% |
| Grayson Allen: Points O/U 9.5 | 42% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 42% |
| Wizards O/U 112.5 | 42% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 41% |
| Grayson Allen: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 41% |
| 1H O/U 115.5 | 41% |
| O/U 223.5 | 40% |
| Spread -3.5 | 40% |
| Brandon Miller: Points O/U 29.5 | 40% |
| AJ Dybantsa: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 40% |
| Sion James: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 40% |
| Anthony Davis: Steals O/U 0.5 | 40% |
| 4Q O/U 54.5 | 40% |
| Spread -4.5 | 39% |
| Sion James: Assists O/U 3.5 | 39% |
| Brandon Miller: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 39% |
| Naz Reid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| Kyshawn George: Points O/U 14.5 | 38% |
| Naz Reid: Points O/U 19.5 | 38% |
| Brandon Miller: Steals O/U 0.5 | 38% |
| 3Q O/U 56.5 | 38% |
| Spread -4.5 | 37% |
| O/U 225.5 | 37% |
| Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 37% |
| Trae Young: Steals O/U 0.5 | 37% |
| Spread -5.5 | 36% |
| Anthony Davis: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 36% |
| 1H O/U 119.5 | 36% |
| Wizards O/U 114.5 | 36% |
| Spread -5.5 | 35% |
| Grayson Allen: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 35% |
| Trae Young: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 35% |
| Kyshawn George: Steals O/U 0.5 | 35% |
| 1H O/U 117.5 | 35% |
| Moussa Diabaté: Steals O/U 1.5 | 34% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| Spread -6.5 | 33% |
| O/U 227.5 | 33% |
| Brandon Miller: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 33% |
| Brandon Miller: Steals O/U 1.5 | 33% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 21.5 | 32% |
| Sion James: Points O/U 4.5 | 32% |
| Moussa Diabaté: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 32% |
| Anthony Davis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 32% |
| Anthony Davis: Steals O/U 1.5 | 32% |
| 1H O/U 121.5 | 32% |
| Kyshawn George: Points O/U 13.5 | 31% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 31% |
| 4Q O/U 56.5 | 31% |
| Anthony Davis: Assists O/U 2.5 | 30% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 24.5 | 30% |
| Anthony Davis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 30% |
| Kyshawn George: Steals O/U 1.5 | 30% |
| Wizards O/U 116.5 | 30% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 29% |
| 3Q O/U 58.5 | 29% |
| Spread -8.5 | 28% |
| Spread -7.5 | 28% |
| O/U 229.5 | 28% |
| Alexandre Sarr: Points O/U 10.5 | 28% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 10.5 | 28% |
| Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 28% |
| Brandon Miller: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 27% |
| Moussa Diabaté: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 27% |
| Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 26% |
| Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 26% |
| Kyshawn George: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 26% |
| O/U 231.5 | 25% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 25% |
| Anthony Davis: Assists O/U 3.5 | 25% |
| Naz Reid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 25% |
| Spread -9.5 | 24% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Points O/U 19.5 | 24% |
| Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 24% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 24% |
| Wizards O/U 118.5 | 24% |
| Spread -10.5 | 23% |
| 3Q O/U 60.5 | 23% |
| O/U 233.5 | 22% |
| AJ Dybantsa: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 22% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 22% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Assists O/U 2.5 | 21% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 21% |
| Moussa Diabaté: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 21% |
| Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 21% |
| Grayson Allen: Steals O/U 1.5 | 21% |
| Tre Johnson: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 20% |
| Sion James: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 20% |
| Sion James: Assists O/U 5.5 | 20% |
| Spread -12.5 | 19% |
| Spread -11.5 | 19% |
| O/U 235.5 | 19% |
| Grayson Allen: Points O/U 19.5 | 19% |
| Grayson Allen: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 19% |
| Wizards O/U 120.5 | 19% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 11.5 | 18% |
| Naz Reid: Points O/U 24.5 | 17% |
| Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 5.5 | 17% |
| Grayson Allen: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 17% |
| Kyshawn George: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 17% |
| O/U 237.5 | 16% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 24.5 | 16% |
| Naz Reid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 16% |
| Trae Young: Steals O/U 1.5 | 16% |
| Spread -13.5 | 15% |
| Tre Johnson: Points O/U 8.5 | 15% |
| Brandon Miller: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 15% |
| Naz Reid: Assists O/U 3.5 | 15% |
| Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 15% |
| 4Q O/U 58.5 | 15% |
| Spread -14.5 | 14% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 29.5 | 14% |
| Brandon Miller: Points O/U 34.5 | 14% |
| Brandon Miller: Points O/U 44.5 | 14% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 14% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 14% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Assists O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| Grayson Allen: Steals O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| Sion James: Assists O/U 7.5 | 14% |
| Sion James: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 14% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 14% |
| Wizards O/U 122.5 | 14% |
| O/U 239.5 | 13% |
| Kyshawn George: Points O/U 19.5 | 13% |
| Sion James: Points O/U 14.5 | 13% |
| Spread -15.5 | 12% |
| Spread -27.5 | 12% |
| Moussa Diabaté: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 12% |
| Moussa Diabaté: Assists O/U 3.5 | 12% |
| Brandon Miller: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 12% |
| Brandon Miller: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 12% |
| Brandon Miller: 3-Pointers Made O/U 7.5 | 12% |
| Grayson Allen: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 12% |
| Grayson Allen: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 12% |
| Sion James: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 12% |
| Sion James: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 12% |
| Spread -16.5 | 11% |
| Kyshawn George: Points O/U 24.5 | 11% |
| Moussa Diabaté: Points O/U 14.5 | 11% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 13.5 | 11% |
| AJ Dybantsa: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 11% |
| Sion James: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 11% |
| Naz Reid: Points O/U 29.5 | 11% |
| 4Q O/U 60.5 | 11% |
| O/U 241.5 | 10% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 10% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 10% |
| Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 10% |
| O/U 243.5 | 9% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 34.5 | 9% |
| Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 9% |
| Anthony Davis: Steals O/U 2.5 | 9% |
| Brandon Miller: Steals O/U 2.5 | 9% |
| Moussa Diabaté: Steals O/U 2.5 | 9% |
| Anthony Davis: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 9% |
| Naz Reid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 9% |
| Naz Reid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 9% |
| 4Q O/U 62.5 | 9% |
| Overtime? | 8% |
| Spread -18.5 | 8% |
| Spread -28.5 | 8% |
| Spread -17.5 | 8% |
| Sion James: Points O/U 9.5 | 8% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 29.5 | 8% |
| Brandon Miller: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 8% |
| Grayson Allen: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 8% |
| Grayson Allen: Assists O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| Anthony Davis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 8% |
| Naz Reid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 8% |
| Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 8% |
| Kyshawn George: Steals O/U 2.5 | 8% |
| Grayson Allen: Points O/U 29.5 | 8% |
| Spread -22.5 | 7% |
| Spread -24.5 | 7% |
| Spread -26.5 | 7% |
| Spread -23.5 | 7% |
| Spread -25.5 | 7% |
| Brandon Miller: Points O/U 39.5 | 7% |
| Brandon Miller: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 7% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 34.5 | 7% |
| Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 7% |
| Trae Young: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 7% |
| Brandon Miller: Assists O/U 5.5 | 7% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 15.5 | 7% |
| Moussa Diabaté: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 7% |
| 4Q O/U 64.5 | 7% |
| O/U 245.5 | 7% |
| O/U 247.5 | 7% |
| Spread -20.5 | 6% |
| Spread -19.5 | 6% |
| Spread -21.5 | 6% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Points O/U 24.5 | 6% |
| Grayson Allen: Points O/U 24.5 | 6% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Points O/U 29.5 | 6% |
| Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 6% |
| Trae Young: Steals O/U 2.5 | 6% |
| O/U 249.5 | 6% |
| AJ Dybantsa: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 5% |
| Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 5% |
| O/U 251.5 | 5% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Assists O/U 5.5 | 4% |
| Anthony Davis: Assists O/U 5.5 | 4% |
| Anthony Davis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 4% |
| Moussa Diabaté: Points O/U 19.5 | 4% |
| AJ Dybantsa: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 4% |
| Naz Reid: Assists O/U 5.5 | 3% |
| Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 3% |
| Grayson Allen: Assists O/U 7.5 | 3% |
| Moussa Diabaté: Assists O/U 5.5 | 3% |
| Brandon Miller: Assists O/U 7.5 | 3% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, hornets vs. wizards stands at 93% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 30 at 7:00PM ET: If the Hornets win, the market will resolve to "Hornets". If the Wizards win, the market will resolve to "Wizards".…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $723K.
Methodology
This page reviews Hornets vs. Wizards across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Bot UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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