Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
96% | 4% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 25.5 | 96% |
| O/U 24.5 | 96% |
| O/U 26.5 | 96% |
| Bears O/U 10.5 | 96% |
| O/U 27.5 | 94% |
| O/U 28.5 | 93% |
| O/U 29.5 | 92% |
| O/U 30.5 | 91% |
| O/U 31.5 | 90% |
| O/U 32.5 | 88% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 87% |
| Vikings O/U 10.5 | 87% |
| O/U 33.5 | 86% |
| Bears 1H O/U 6.5 | 85% |
| O/U 34.5 | 84% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 84% |
| O/U 35.5 | 83% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 83% |
| O/U 36.5 | 80% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 80% |
| Bears O/U 19.5 | 79% |
| O/U 37.5 | 77% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 76% |
| O/U 38.5 | 75% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 75% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 6.5 | 74% |
| O/U 39.5 | 73% |
| O/U 40.5 | 73% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 73% |
| Bears O/U 20.5 | 72% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 71% |
| Vikings O/U 12.5 | 71% |
| Vikings O/U 19.5 | 71% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 70% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 70% |
| O/U 41.5 | 69% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 67% |
| O/U 42.5 | 66% |
| Spread -1.5 | 64% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 64% |
| Spread -2.5 | 62% |
| O/U 43.5 | 62% |
| Bears O/U 23.5 | 62% |
| O/U 44.5 | 60% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 60% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 57% |
| O/U 45.5 | 56% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 55% |
| Spread -3.5 | 54% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 54% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 54% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 54% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 54% |
| O/U 46.5 | 53% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 53% |
| Vikings O/U 13.5 | 53% |
| Vikings O/U 20.5 | 53% |
| Exact Margin: Bears by 7-13 | 53% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 52% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 16.5 | 52% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 52% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 52% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| Bears O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Bears 1H O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| Bears 1H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 17.5 | 51% |
| Bears 2H O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| Bears 2H O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Bears 2H O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| Bears 2H O/U 17.5 | 51% |
| Bears 2H O/U 20.5 | 51% |
| Exact Margin: Bears by 14-20 | 51% |
| Exact Margin: Bears by 21+ | 51% |
| Team to Record Longest FG | 51% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Bears O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Bears O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Bears O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Bears O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Bears 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Bears 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Bears 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Bears 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Bears 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Vikings Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Bears Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Vikings vs. Bears: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -4.5 | 49% |
| 2H Moneyline | 49% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 49% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 49% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 49% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 49% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 49% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 49% |
| Exact Margin: Vikings by 13-18 | 49% |
| Exact Margin: Vikings by 7-12 | 49% |
| Safety? | 49% |
| O/U 47.5 | 48% |
| Vikings O/U 30.5 | 48% |
| Vikings O/U 34.5 | 48% |
| Exact Margin: Vikings by 19-24 | 48% |
| Exact Margin: Vikings by 1-6 | 48% |
| Exact Margin: Bears by 1-6 | 48% |
| Spread -5.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 47% |
| O/U 48.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 46% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 46% |
| Bears O/U 27.5 | 46% |
| Exact Margin: Vikings by 25+ | 46% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 45% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 45% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 45% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 44% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 44% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 44% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 44% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 44% |
| Spread -6.5 | 43% |
| O/U 49.5 | 43% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 43% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 43% |
| Vikings Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 43% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 10.5 | 42% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 42% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 42% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 41% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 41% |
| O/U 50.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 40% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 40% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 40% |
| Vikings O/U 23.5 | 40% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 39% |
| Vikings O/U 16.5 | 39% |
| 1H Moneyline | 39% |
| Spread -7.5 | 38% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 38% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 12.5 | 38% |
| O/U 51.5 | 37% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 37% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| Vikings vs. Bears | 35% |
| Spread -8.5 | 35% |
| Spread -9.5 | 35% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| Bears Total Touchdowns: O/U 3.5 | 35% |
| O/U 53.5 | 34% |
| O/U 52.5 | 34% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 34% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 33% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 33% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 33% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 33% |
| Bears 1H O/U 16.5 | 33% |
| Spread -1.5 | 32% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 32% |
| Bears O/U 30.5 | 32% |
| Spread -10.5 | 31% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 31% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 31% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 31% |
| O/U 54.5 | 31% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 31% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 13.5 | 31% |
| Spread -2.5 | 30% |
| Spread -17.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 30% |
| O/U 55.5 | 29% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 29% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 28% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 28% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 28% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 28% |
| Vikings O/U 26.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 27% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 27% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 27% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 26% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 26% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 26% |
| Spread -13.5 | 25% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 25% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 25% |
| O/U 57.5 | 24% |
| Spread -3.5 | 24% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 24% |
| O/U 56.5 | 24% |
| Vikings O/U 27.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 23% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 23% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 23% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 23% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 23% |
| Spread -4.5 | 22% |
| Spread -14.5 | 22% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 22% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 22% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 22% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 21% |
| Spread -5.5 | 20% |
| Spread -20.5 | 20% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 20% |
| O/U 58.5 | 20% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 16.5 | 20% |
| Bears 1H O/U 19.5 | 20% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 20% |
| O/U 59.5 | 19% |
| Spread -16.5 | 19% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 19% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 19% |
| Spread -6.5 | 18% |
| Spread -16.5 | 18% |
| Spread -21.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 18% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 18% |
| O/U 60.5 | 18% |
| Spread -17.5 | 17% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 17% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 17% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 17% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 16% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 16% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 16% |
| Bears 1H O/U 20.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 15% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 15% |
| O/U 61.5 | 14% |
| O/U 63.5 | 14% |
| Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| Spread -8.5 | 14% |
| Spread -19.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 14% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| O/U 62.5 | 14% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 14% |
| Spread -20.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 13% |
| Spread -9.5 | 12% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 12% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 12% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 12% |
| Spread -10.5 | 11% |
| Spread -21.5 | 11% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 11% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 11% |
| O/U 64.5 | 11% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 10% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| O/U 65.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 9% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 8% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| Spread -13.5 | 7% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 7% |
| Spread -14.5 | 6% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 6% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 20.5 | 6% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 5% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 5% |
| Spread -19.5 | 4% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 4% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 4% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 3% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 2% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, vikings vs. bears stands at 96% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 20 at 1:00PM ET: If Vikings wins, the market will resolve to "Vikings". If Bears wins, the market will resolve to "Bears". If the …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $1.8M.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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