Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Bot UK Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Bot UK.
Active sub-markets
| Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Simona Waltert Set 1 Winner | 100% Marcinko | 0% Waltert |
| Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Simona Waltert Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Simona Waltert Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Simona Waltert Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Simona Waltert | 100% Petra Marcinko | 0% Simona Waltert |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Simona Waltert. This market refers to the tennis match between Petra Marcinko and Simona Waltert in the Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for June 20, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will res…
Methodology
We track Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Simona Waltert on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket Bot UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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