Lexington: Andre Ilagan vs Edas Butvilas

Platform comparison

Market context

Andre Ilagan and Edas Butvilas are scheduled to meet on outdoor hard courts in Lexington, with live scoreboards showing the match set for 9 August 2026 at 17:00 UTC.[1][13] For a programme-driven market workflow, the key input is not ranking noise but the event state: whether the match starts, reaches a finish, or is pushed outside the seven-day settlement window, because cancellation or an unresolved delay would force a 50-50 outcome under the rules.

The cleanest historical reference point is their meeting in Tyler in June 2026, where Ilagan beat Butvilas in straight sets 6-3, 6-4.[11][10] That gives Ilagan the only recorded head-to-head edge, and H2H databases show 1-0 in his favour, though the sample is too small to treat as a stable baseline.[3][2] Current form data is mixed but broadly similar: Butvilas has a stronger longer-run win record on some trackers, while both have been active on the Challenger circuit through 2026.[2][3]

For traders using bots or conditional orders, the immediate catalysts are whether the Lexington draw and court order remain intact, whether the posted start time holds, and whether any suspension spills over beyond the market’s resolution window.[1][13] Sofascore’s live page already lists the match as underway at Stadium 1, which means the practical edge is in monitoring completion status rather than pre-match scheduling risk.[1] A market showing 0% YES is therefore more a reflection of stale pricing or unmatched liquidity than a reliable forecast of the match itself.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

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