Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 7?

Platform comparison

Market context

The event is the **highest recorded air temperature at Shenzhen Bao’an International Airport Station** on 7 August, as logged in Weather Underground’s Daily Observations table, not the summary high/low box. For a programme-driven approach, the key task is to poll the station feed near the settlement cut-off and map the observed maximum into the market’s Celsius bands, because the outcome depends on the precise daily maximum rather than a forecast or a rounded headline figure.

The crowd’s 0% YES looks conservative against Shenzhen’s seasonal baseline. August is typically one of the hottest months in the city, with average highs around **32°C** and many references showing daily highs in the low- to mid-30s, while some guidance allows for **35°C** or more on hotter days.[5][7][9][10] Even so, a market settling to a specific temperature range can stay clustered near zero when traders expect the final observation to land just outside the more tightly priced band, or when they prefer to wait for the live station readout rather than front-run modelled weather.

The main catalysts are the same ones a bot or conditional order stack would watch: convective showers, cloud cover, and any short-lived heat spike before the settlement window closes. Shenzhen is in the May-to-September rainy season, and recent guidance for the day points to patchy rain and a forecast around **32°C/27°C**, which can cap the realised high if cloud and rain arrive early.[8][19] For automation, the practical dependency is not the forecast itself but the timing of the last official observation before 12:00 UTC and any late-morning update that could shift the day’s maximum by a degree or two.[1][14][17]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

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