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National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Jakub Mensik

Comparison of odds and platforms for "National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Jakub Mensik" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Polymarket Bot UK.

National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Jakub Mensik Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Jakub Mensik Match O/U 21.5 65% National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Jakub Mensik Set Handicap +/-1.5 56% Completed Match 50% Volume: $256K Liquidity: $405K Closes: 13 Aug 2026
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National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Jakub Mensik

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Jakub Mensik Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Jakub Mensik Match O/U 21.565%
National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Jakub Mensik Set Handicap +/-1.556%
Completed Match50%
National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Jakub Mensik Set 2 O/U 8.550%
National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Jakub Mensik Set 2 O/U 9.550%
National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Jakub Mensik Set 2 O/U 10.550%
National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Jakub Mensik Set 2 Winner45%
National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Jakub Mensik Match O/U 22.545%
National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Jakub Mensik Match O/U 23.544%
National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Jakub Mensik Total Sets: O/U 2.543%
National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Jakub Mensik18%
National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Jakub Mensik Set 1 Winner0%
National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Jakub Mensik Set 1 O/U 9.50%
National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Jakub Mensik Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to national bank open: jacob fearnley vs jakub mensik. This market refers to the tennis match between Jacob Fearnley and Jakub Mensik in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 6, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jacob Fea…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Bot UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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