Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Toledo vs. Sacramento State | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Toledo 2H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 100% |
| Toledo Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Sacramento State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Sacramento State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 100% |
| Toledo Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 100% |
| Toledo Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 100% |
| Toledo Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 100% |
| Toledo 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Toledo Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Toledo Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Sacramento State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Sacramento State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Toledo vs. Sacramento State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2H Moneyline | 100% |
| Sacramento State O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| Sacramento State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| O/U 37.5 | 0% |
| O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| O/U 41.5 | 0% |
| O/U 43.5 | 0% |
| O/U 45.5 | 0% |
| O/U 47.5 | 0% |
| O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| O/U 51.5 | 0% |
| O/U 53.5 | 0% |
| O/U 55.5 | 0% |
| O/U 57.5 | 0% |
| O/U 59.5 | 0% |
| O/U 61.5 | 0% |
| O/U 63.5 | 0% |
| O/U 65.5 | 0% |
| O/U 67.5 | 0% |
| O/U 69.5 | 0% |
| O/U 71.5 | 0% |
| O/U 73.5 | 0% |
| O/U 75.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Toledo O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Toledo O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Toledo O/U 26.5 | 0% |
| Toledo O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Toledo O/U 32.5 | 0% |
| Sacramento State O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Sacramento State O/U 26.5 | 0% |
| Sacramento State O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Sacramento State O/U 32.5 | 0% |
| Sacramento State O/U 35.5 | 0% |
| Toledo 1H O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Toledo 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Toledo 1H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Sacramento State 1H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Sacramento State 1H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Sacramento State 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Toledo 2H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Toledo 2H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Sacramento State 2H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Sacramento State 2H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Sacramento State 2H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 0% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 0% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 0% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 0% |
| Toledo vs. Sacramento State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Toledo vs. Sacramento State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| Toledo vs. Sacramento State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| Toledo Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Toledo Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Sacramento State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Sacramento State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Toledo Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 0% |
| Toledo Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 0% |
| Toledo Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 0% |
| Sacramento State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 0% |
| Sacramento State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 0% |
| Sacramento State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 0% |
| Sacramento State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 0% |
| Sacramento State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 0% |
| Toledo Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 0% |
| Toledo Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 0% |
| Toledo Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 0% |
| Sacramento State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 0% |
| Sacramento State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 0% |
| Sacramento State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 0% |
| Sacramento State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Toledo 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Sacramento State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Toledo Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Sacramento State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Sacramento State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Toledo Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Toledo Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Toledo Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| Sacramento State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| Toledo Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Toledo Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Toledo Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Sacramento State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Sacramento State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Sacramento State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Toledo vs. Sacramento State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Toledo vs. Sacramento State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Toledo O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 0% |
| Spread -46.5 | 0% |
| Spread -43.5 | 0% |
| Spread -42.5 | 0% |
| Spread -40.5 | 0% |
| Spread -39.5 | 0% |
| Spread -36.5 | 0% |
| Spread -34.5 | 0% |
| Spread -33.5 | 0% |
| Spread -32.5 | 0% |
| Spread -31.5 | 0% |
| Spread -30.5 | 0% |
| Spread -29.5 | 0% |
| Spread -28.5 | 0% |
| Spread -27.5 | 0% |
| Spread -26.5 | 0% |
| Spread -25.5 | 0% |
| Spread -24.5 | 0% |
| Spread -23.5 | 0% |
| Spread -22.5 | 0% |
| Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| Spread -19.5 | 0% |
| Spread -18.5 | 0% |
| Spread -15.5 | 0% |
| Spread -12.5 | 0% |
| Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, toledo vs. sacramento state stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming college football game between Toledo and Sacramento State, scheduled for November 4 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Toledo" if Toledo win the game. This …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $919K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Bot UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
Trade Toledo vs. Sacramento State on Polymarket Bot UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →